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Most
major stock market indexes continued their decline in April
as the pre-announcements (confessionals) and announcements
disseminated to investors by public corporations depicted
at best, a muted profit recovery by many corporations.
For some reason in mid April most major stock market indexes
rose off their lows for about a week only to succumb to the
bears continuing their assault on the stock of any company
that had not had stellar profit growth in the first quarter.
Adding more fuel to the bears' fire was the lack of visibility
ahead for corporate earnings.
The telecommunication sector continued to be the biggest loser
in the first quarter, and as such, their stocks continued
to be pummeled by the bears.
Alan Greenspan, the chairman of the Federal Reserve (Fed)
made some speeches in April trying to reassure stock market
investors that the sky was not
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falling.
Mr. Greenspan may be too old now to remember his "irrational
exuberance" speech that he gave in 1996, when he was afraid
that the stock market was poised for a crash.
Mr. Greenspan is now worried about the "irrational depression"
of many stock market investors that are still licking their
wounds from the stock market implosion of 2000, 2001 and 2002.
The Middle east conflict continued throughout April with no
end in sight (What else is new?) Even Colin Powell's visit
to Israel didn't cool off the hostilities between the Israelis
and the Palestines.
Most major stock market indexes finished April on the
upside. However, the stock market resumed its free-fall in
early May.
Throughout May, the bulls and the bears continued their duel,
as each major stock market rally was followed by an equally
strong sell-off.
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Fueling the battle between the bulls and the bears throughout
May was the economic statistics being released to the public
which depicted the U.S. economy recovering, albeit with not
much vigor. Investors were not sure whether to embrace optimism
or pessimism throughout May, as the earnings reports for many
public corporations showed lackluster profit growth,
with little visibility of what was ahead for the future.
Casting a pall on the muted economic recovery was the
increase in the unemployment rate to 6% disclosed in May
for April of 2002. Some economists argued that unemployment
always rose after an economic recovery, while others argued
that the U.S. economy would soon decline again.
May continued as a tug of war between the bulls and the bears,
ending the month with
most
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