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The
stock market started out like a rocket ship in early January,
with most major stock market indexes rising significantly
in the first two weeks of 2003.
Stock market investors were tired of being bears and chose
to ignore the continuing geo-political situation with Iraq,
North Korea, and Afghanistan in early January.
The economic statistics that were being disseminated throughout
January continued to depict that the U.S. and global economies
remained anemic, the labor markets continued to deteriorate,
and that corporate profits for many corporations remained
elusive.
In mid January stock market investors woke up one morning
and decided to regain their sanity and bearish-ness, and proceeded
to sell most stocks off with a vengeance. All the meteoric
gains that many stocks achieved by mid January were lost in
a wisp.
Against this backdrop, the geo-
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political
tensions continued to escalate in reference to Iraq and North
Korea.
Investors seemed to accept that in fact the U.S. would
actually invade Iraq before the Spring of 2003 and therefore
the stock market might be the place to avoid until the dust
had settled.
The pundits on Wall Street had a field day during January
extrapolating from every bit of political rhetoric released
to the public by our noble politicians, the outcome of a short
or long war on the U.S. economy and the stock market.
Most of the global stock markets mirrored the performance
of the U.S. stock market throughout January, rising in the
first two weeks, and plummeting in the last two weeks.
The bond market as a whole was more or less range bound throughout
January albeit losing some ground during the bullish run-up
in early January.
Most major stock market indexes continued to decline in
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February.
Investors again embraced the concept that the U.S. and global
economies could be affected in a negative way as a result
of the up-coming war with Iraq, and the escalating tensions
on the Korean peninsula.
The technology laden Nasdaq Composite Index (NASDAQ) did however
gain some upward momentum in mid February finishing that month
about where it had started.
All the major stock market indexes did however finish February
near their lows for 2003. February marked the third month
in a row that most major stock market indexes finished down.
The global stock markets again mirrored the U.S. stock market
throughout February, that is rising and falling in sync with
the U.S. stock market daily.
The bond market was again the big winner throughout February.
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